SHR4 - UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION AND RELIABILITY METHODS FOR REGIONAL SEISMIC RISK ASSESSMENT |
MONDAY | ||||||||
AMBER 5 | Convenors: M. Broccardo, Z. Wang, J. Song | ||||||||
14:30 - 14:40 | ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF UNCERTAINTIES IN SEISMIC RISK MODELS ON PORTFOLIO LOSS ESTIMATES A. Damiani, V. Poggi, C. Scaini, M. Kohrangi, P. Bazzurro | |||||||
14:40 - 14:50 | ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EARTHQUAKE RISKS AT BUILDING AND PORTFOLIO LEVELS THROUGH RISK MEASURES L. Bodenmann, M. Broccardo, P. Galanis, B. Stojadinovic | |||||||
14:50 - 15:00 | BAYESIAN ANALYSIS TO ACCOUNT FOR PATH AND SITE EFFECTS IN SPATIAL GROUND MOTION CORRELATION MODELS L. Bodenmann, J. Baker, B. Stojadinovic | |||||||
15:00 - 15:10 | RAPID IMPACT SCENARIOS: RESULTS FROM DIFFERENT TEST SITES S. Parolai, B. Petrovic, V. Poggi, C. Scaini | |||||||
15:10 - 15:20 | APPROXIMATED MULTI-SITE PSHA BASED ON CONDITIONAL HAZARD P. Cito, E. Chioccarelli, I. Iervolino | |||||||
15:20 - 15:30 | IMPACT OF HAZARD UNCERTAINTY EVOLUTION ON ASSESSMENTS OF BUILDING FRAGILITIES AND SEISMIC RISK J. Lozano, I. Tien | |||||||
15:30 - 15:40 | STATISTICAL IMPUTATION OF MISSING BUILDING INVENTORY AND ITS IMPACT ON REGIONAL SEISMIC ASSESSMENT S. Yi, A. Zsarnoczay, A. Bangalore Satish, D. Giovanis, B. Cetiner, F. McKenna | |||||||
15:40 - 15:50 | RELATIVE CONTRIBUTIONS OF DIFFERENT SOURCES OF EPISTEMIC UNCERTAINTY ON SEISMIC HAZARD IN CALIFORNIA T. O Donnell, J. Stewart, K. Milner | |||||||
TUESDAY | ||||||||
MONITOR 25 | Convenors: M. Broccardo, Z. Wang, J. Song | ||||||||
09:00 - 09:10 | SEISMIC FRAGILITY CURVES OF LIFELINE NETWORKS BASED ON SUBSET SIMULATION D. Lee, Z. Wang, J. Song | |||||||
09:10 - 09:20 | A NON-PARAMETRIC APPROACH FOR MULTIVARIATE SEISMIC FRAGILITY AND RISK ANALYSIS P.A. Conde Bandini, P. Paultre | |||||||
09:20 - 09:30 | UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION IN THE SEISMIC RISK ASSESSMENT OF BRIDGE TOWERS NEAR THE HAYWARD FAULT A. Taslimi, F. Petrone | |||||||
09:30 - 09:40 | RECONNAISSANCE ENGINE OF NETWORK SYSTEMS USING MATRIX-BASED BAYESIAN NETWORK J. Byun, B. Zhao, H. Ryu | |||||||
09:40 - 09:50 | SEISMIC PERFORMANCE OF MODULAR BUILDLING UNDER NEAR FIELD GROUND MOTIONS S. Elias, M. Beer | |||||||
09:50 - 10:00 | SEISMIC RISK OF AGING BRIDGE NETWORKS BY CROSS-ENTROPY-BASED STATIONARY PROPOSAL IMPORTANCE SAMPLING L. Capacci | |||||||
10:00 - 10:15 | DISCUSSION | |||||||
MONITOR 26 | Convenors: M. Broccardo, Z. Wang, J. Song | ||||||||
09:00 - 09:10 | SEISMIC RETROFIT OPTIMIZATION OF WATER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM BASED ON SURROGATE MODEL B. Hou, C. Yang, X. Cheng, H. Miao | |||||||
09:10 - 09:20 | STUDY ON VULNERABILITY CURVE OF RC BUILDING DAMAGE CONSIDERING VARIATION IN BUILDING PERFORMANCE Y. Nakamura, K. Sotome, S. Okura | |||||||
09:20 - 09:30 | RISK ANALYSIS OF ALTO GARDA VIA MICROZONATION AND STRUCTURAL CHARACTERISATION OF BUILDINGS MAPPING C. Nardin, M. Broccardo, A. Vigano, G. Laurenzano, S. Parolai | |||||||
09:30 - 09:40 | BAYESIAN ESTIMATION OF SEISMIC VULNERABILITY MODEL PARAMETERS USING SOUTH ICELAND LOSS DATA M. Moosapoor, B. Bessason, B. Hrafnkelsson, R. Rupakhety, A. Darzi, J. Bjarnason, S. Erlingsson | |||||||
09:40 - 09:50 | ON THE SENSITIVITY OF HIGH-RESOLUTION SEISMIC RISK ASSESSMENT FOR THE TOWN OF HUSAVIK, NORTH ICELAND A. Darzi, M. Moosapoor, B. Halldorsson, B. Hrafnkelsson, F. Cotton, B. Bessason | |||||||
09:50 - 10:00 | EVALUATION OF SEISMIC HAZARD FOR KOREAN HISTORIC AREAS CONSIDERING UNCERTAINTY FOR VS PROFILES K. Ji, H. Park | |||||||
10:00 - 10:15 | DISCUSSION | |||||||
MONITOR 27 | Convenors: M. Broccardo, Z. Wang, J. Song | ||||||||
09:00 - 09:10 | NON-ERGODIC GROUND MOTION MODEL FOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES USING S-NET SEAFLOOR DATA L. Hu, Y. Li, W.H. Pan, H.W. Yang, S.Y. Ji | |||||||
09:10 - 09:20 | SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF DEMAND VARIABLES FOR SCENARIO-BASED EARTHQUAKE DAMAGE ASSESSMENT IN KOREA S.Y. Kim, S.J. Lee, H.Y. Ji, Y.J. Byun, J.H. Kim | |||||||
09:20 - 09:30 | INVESTIGATING SAMPLING BIAS THROUGH SECONDARY VARIABLE: INSIGHTS FROM VS30 DATASETS OF FOUR REGIONS J. Zhou, L. Li, K. Chen, X. Chen, B. Chen, X. Li | |||||||
09:30 - 09:40 | ON THE ASSESSMENT OF RELIABILITY-CONSISTENT SEISMIC DESIGN LOAD CONTOUR MAPS FOR CANADIAN SITES C. Feng, H.P. Hong | |||||||
09:40 - 09:50 | THE SAFETY ASSESSMENT METHOD OF LIFE-SAVING PASSAGE IN BOTTOM FRAME MASONRY STRUCTURE (BFMS) RUINS UNDER AFTERSHOCKS X. Defeng, S. Feifei, D. Junwu, Y. Yongqiang, C. Xingchen | |||||||
09:50 - 10:15 | DISCUSSION |